• ironhydroxide@sh.itjust.works
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    3 months ago

    The only certain thing is nobody knows who will be elected until after the polls close and counting is certified.

    VOTE. Everyone vote as if yours is the only one that matters, because it may be.

    • kmartburrito@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      100% agree. Polls also don’t really account for voter suppression tactics, or gerrymandering and other GOP fuckery, so absolutely vote because our democracy is literally at stake here.

      Our future generations will be impacted by the outcome of this specific election.

    • proudblond@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      I tend to wonder how these polls are conducted and who is answering them? Does anyone get polls via email or text? Are they still just calling people? I’m in my 40s and basically no one I know my age or younger answers numbers they don’t know anymore, and texts are ignored or flat out blocked because if you respond, they barrage you later, or at least that’s what we all assume.

      So I’m not convinced polls have any bearing on what will happen anymore. VOTE!

      • Natanael@slrpnk.net
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        3 months ago

        Yes

        Different polls with different methods.

        Many call people, some online polls (using advertising with demographic targeting), some emails to various news list subscribers, some in person polling, etc. It’s definitely harder these days to get accurate numbers because fewer responders means self imposed selection bias by those answering, which can correlate to the answers you get in unpredictable ways.

    • venusaur@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      To be fair, your vote statistically doesn’t matter in some states. I’ll make a bet with somebody that if I don’t vote in my state it won’t change anything.

      Dems really phoned this one in.

      • ripcord@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        There’s plenty of downticket races that potentially directly affect your life more that matter.

      • rayyy@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        I don’t vote in my state it won’t change anything

        Wrong, wrong and wrong.
        Your vote matters down-ballot. Your vote matters for a mandate. Your vote matters because you will pay attention. The trick is to get people to feel the way you do so they can rule you.

        • venusaur@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          You wanna make a bet? If I don’t vote, my state will still vote Harris.

          The trick is actually to trick people like you into thinking they have control when they actually don’t.

          • SeriousMite@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            I would argue that even if your state is guaranteed to go one way or the other (aside from down ballot races which are obviously very important) there’s still value in voting for president, if only to illustrate the discrepancy between the popular vote and the electoral college. The higher we run up the margins, the more it makes it obvious to everyone that we need to ditch the electoral college.

      • proudblond@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Federal, maybe, but it’s still important to vote for down ticket races, and your presidential vote can at least be a statistic toward the popular vote count. I get what you mean though, I’m from a consistently blue state.