You seem to be under the misunderstanding that dems want to increase abortions. They want increased access to abortion, but that’s not the same thing.
This really hurts Republicans more than Dems. Let’s say you have a goal of reducing “x”, so you pass a law banning it, but that causes a noticeable increase in the behavior. Your law made things objectively worse towards accomplishing your goal.
If you think the increased occurrence is justified as long as people are punished for it, then you don’t actually care about reducing abortion, you just want to punish people for it.
I think dems genuinely believe that if Republicans take control of the House, Senate, and Presidency, that they will absolutely implement a nationwide ban, which will reduce access. That implies it’s still a valid concern and not a scare tactic.
And even though overall abortions have increased, there has still been a restriction in access, it’s just that enough people can still afford to overcome those restrictions (for now), as well as Dems pushing to allow meds by mail to help alleviate the restrictions.
But, there have already been unfortunate consequences to the health and lives of women who couldn’t afford to overcome the restrictions, or it was too late, or they were convicted a crime if they did obtain access.
So again, not a scare tactic if they are actual things that are happening, and will just get worse with a nationwide ban.